some very speculative Tony speculation

The NYT has an interactive Tony ballot, and apparently the producers of *Xanadu* have ordered up some ballot-stuffing.
It's a straw poll, of course, but it does offer some insights. Campbell Robertson's poll of two dozen actual Tony voters is probably much more accurate - and he comes up with some surprises or near-surprises: Paulo Szot for South Pacific; Passing Strange in an upset; Mark Rylance over Stewart and Fishburne; Bart Sher likely to win for director; Pinter's The Homecoming.
Of course, nobody knows anything.
Nobody knows anything.

http://theater2.nytimes.com/gst/theater/
tonys2008.html
AND
http://www.nytimes.com/2008/06/13/
theater/theaterspecial/13tony.html?ref=arts